Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.031118 0.033466 0.035816 0.038340 0.040970 0.043626 0.046510
2025-09-28 0.025802 0.029441 0.033210 0.037387 0.041872 0.046529 0.051717
2025-10-05 0.023752 0.028213 0.032938 0.038284 0.044132 0.050307 0.057290
2025-10-12 0.021663 0.026683 0.032109 0.038358 0.045303 0.052737 0.061252
2025-10-19 0.019862 0.025301 0.031291 0.038297 0.046194 0.054749 0.064651
2025-10-26 0.018848 0.024714 0.031277 0.039057 0.047925 0.057625 0.068948
2025-11-02 0.017624 0.023794 0.030807 0.039228 0.048933 0.059647 0.072253
2025-11-09 0.016432 0.022835 0.030225 0.039211 0.049675 0.061327 0.075138
2025-11-16 0.015352 0.021946 0.029672 0.039177 0.050355 0.062902 0.077875
2025-11-23 0.014283 0.021012 0.029015 0.038976 0.050803 0.064181 0.080248
2025-11-30 0.013366 0.020218 0.028486 0.038891 0.051354 0.065553 0.082708
2025-12-07 0.012285 0.019161 0.027590 0.038324 0.051303 0.066200 0.084310
2025-12-14 0.011225 0.018122 0.026727 0.037827 0.051385 0.067069 0.086262
2025-12-21 0.010015 0.016833 0.025512 0.036872 0.050906 0.067282 0.087464
2025-12-28 0.009706 0.016735 0.025796 0.037763 0.052647 0.070108 0.091716
2026-01-04 0.009081 0.016168 0.025446 0.037836 0.053373 0.071715 0.094529
2026-01-11 0.008451 0.015557 0.025011 0.037776 0.053917 0.073091 0.097058
2026-01-18 0.008180 0.015441 0.025219 0.038529 0.055462 0.075666 0.101011
2026-01-25 0.007711 0.015011 0.024986 0.038699 0.056268 0.077343 0.103891
2026-02-01 0.007206 0.014501 0.024624 0.038682 0.056827 0.078710 0.106394
2026-02-08 0.006730 0.014007 0.024262 0.038649 0.057352 0.080028 0.108832
2026-02-15 0.006231 0.013448 0.023788 0.038450 0.057652 0.081059 0.110918
2026-02-22 0.005801 0.012973 0.023413 0.038365 0.058085 0.082247 0.113186